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Review.uz/en - Economic Review

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Channel's geo and language: Uzbekistan, English
Category: Economics

Information and analytical portal of the "Economic Review" Journal. Official channel of Review.uz website
Editorial team: @CERRUZB
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Review.uz/en - Economic Review

13 Dec, 12:02

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🧶 Infographics: The development of the textile and clothing and knitwear industry in Uzbekistan in 2017-2023

📍The infographic #CERR presents the dynamics of the development of the textile and clothing and knitwear industry in Uzbekistan over 7 years.

📈In 2017-2023, the textile industry showed positive dynamics in all areas. In 7 years, the industry's output has grown by 82%.

▪️yarn production increased 2.4 times
▪️fabrics by 2.6 times
▪️knitted fabric by 4.7 times
▪️sewing and knitting products by 9.9 times
▪️hosiery by 6.9 times

👆The share of high-value-added products in the textile industry increased from 27% in 2017 to 54% in 2022.

📈In recent years, exports of textile products have increased 2.8 times to $3.1 billion in 2023.

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Review.uz/en - Economic Review

13 Dec, 07:15

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📊Insurers’ Climate Losses Almost Match Premiums From Fossil Fuels

Bloomberg reports that research group examines 28 of the world’s largest insurers. Climate change accounts for about 33% global weather losses.

📉Top insurance companies suffered $10.6 billion of climate-attributed losses this year, just shy of the $11.3 billion of direct premiums they underwrote for commercial fossil-fuel clients in 2023.

📊On average, fossil-fuel premiums account for less than 2% of total premiums, raising questions about why insurers aren’t using their immense influence to protect the other 98% of their business from spiraling climate risks.

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Review.uz/en - Economic Review

12 Dec, 11:35

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📈Asian Economies Resilient Enough to Endure Turbulence, IMF Says

Bloomberg reports that Asian economies are resilient enough to ride out turbulence, IMF economists said.

📊Asia remains a key engine of global economic growth, but this year it has seen a rise in uncertainties that span a range of factors. Japan’s surprising leadership transition, South Korea’s bungled martial-law command, and the threat of tariffs from Trump have made the future harder to predict in the region.

🔝While declining to comment on specific countries and political situations, IMF Asia-Pacific division chief highlighted the resilience of the region and said it maintains a great deal of upside growth potential.

🏦The IMF agreed the region has “displayed remarkable resilience” and expected it to continue to do so going forward. There’s “ample room” by Asian central banks to cut rates further as consumer inflation slows, and the Federal Reserve is also seen as planning to ease its own monetary policy.

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Review.uz/en - Economic Review

11 Dec, 14:51

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🇺🇿🇫🇷Uzbekistan Demonstrates a Shift from Unilateralism to Multilateralism – IPSE Expert

On December 9, a delegation of Uzbek think tanks participated in a roundtable in Paris, The delegation also held a series of meetings with European partners.

🤝The roundtable brought together about 40 international experts convened by the Institute for Prospective and Security in Europe (IPSE).
"Uzbekistan has the potential to expand the supply of various products that France imports in significant volumes globally. Key industries of interest for cooperation include high-tech sectors. There are also promising opportunities for investment collaboration in the food and pharmaceutical industries, winemaking, and the development of Uzbekistan’s tourism infrastructure," noted CERR Director Obid Khakimov.


🔝 Emmanuel Dupuy, Director of the Institute for Prospective and Security in Europe (IPSE), emphasized Uzbekistan’s importance as a key partner for France in Central Asia and the development of bilateral political, economic, and cultural-humanitarian cooperation.
“Since 2017, under the leadership of President Mirziyoyev, Uzbekistan has demonstrated a shift from unilateralism to multilateralism. This approach not only strengthens Uzbekistan’s position on the international stage but also attracts investments, technologies, and expertise, contributing to more sustainable economic growth and social development,” — he noted.


📝According to Professor Catherine Poujol of the National Institute of Oriental Languages and Civilizations (INALCO) Uzbekistan’s greatest asset lies in its human capital. She emphasized that the country’s significant youth population creates unique opportunities for growth and progress.

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Review.uz/en - Economic Review

11 Dec, 09:35

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📉ESG Is in Its Flop Era

Bloomberg reports that despite a pullback amid political hostility, investors and business leaders still recognize that corporate behavior that benefits the environment also benefits the bottom line.

📉No doubt, green investments are having a grim year. Investors pulled $24 billion from climate-related funds during the first three quarters of 2024, according to Morningstar data. I’d be shocked if that didn’t get much worse in the fourth quarter, during which “Trump trades” of all kinds, including Bitcoin, have been ascendant.

📊Despite the fund outflow, assets in climate-related funds still rose 6% from a year earlier because their prices rose. And ESG funds overall attracted modest global inflows through the first three quarters of the year. The big exception is the US, where investors have been withdrawing money for more than two years.

📊On the other hand, cleaning up your act is a good way to make money. Stock prices of companies that pledge to reduce their carbon emissions rise “significantly and persistently” after the announcement, according to a Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco study. The “dirtier” the company making the pledge, the bigger the gain.

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Review.uz/en - Economic Review

10 Dec, 07:30

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📈Global Temperature Set to Surpass 1.5C Threshold in Hottest Year on Record

Bloomberg reports that the Paris Agreement has committed countries to make best efforts to keep long-term average temperatures below the key figure to reduce the worst impacts of climate change.

📉The average global temperature reached 1.62C above pre-industrial levels in November, according to the EU-funded Copernicus Climate Change Service, surpassing the symbolic 1.5C level, a threshold that's become significant because of its inclusion in the Paris Agreement.

📊Current pledges and policies are insufficient to limit warming to 1.5 or even 2C above the pre-industrial average, according to the UN. Current commitments put the world on course for temperatures of 2.6 to 2.8C and even these are not being met, it said in a report published shortly before the COP29 climate conference last month.

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Review.uz/en - Economic Review

8 Dec, 07:12

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Forward from: Center for Economic Research and Reforms
🇺🇿 Азиз юртдошлар,

Ўзбекистон Республикаси Конституцияси куни муборак бўлсин!

Иқтисодий тадқиқотлар ва ислоҳотлар маркази барча ўзбекистонликларни бугунги байрам билан қутлайди.

Кучимиз – бирлик ва ҳамжиҳатликда, меҳмондўст мамлакатимизга муҳаббатда, фарзандларимизни камолга етказиш ва ота-оналаримизни бахтли кўриш саодатида.

—

🇺🇿 Дорогие друзья!

Центр экономических исследований и реформ поздравляет всех граждан Республики Узбекистан с Днем Конституции!

Наша сила в единстве и солидарности, в любви к своей тёплой и гостеприимной стране, в счастье растить детей и видеть родителей рядом.

🖋 Cerr.uz   ✈️ Telegram  💻Facebook 🖥(Twitter)    ▶️ YouTube
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Review.uz/en - Economic Review

8 Dec, 07:12

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Review.uz/en - Economic Review

5 Dec, 07:50

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📉China’s Trade Reprisals May Extend to Minerals Like Rare Earths

Bloomberg reports that elements have been a feature of previous trade disputes. Germanium and gallium exports to the US already at zero.

⛔️Beijing’s ban covering sales to the US of gallium, germanium, antimony and superhard materials, and tighter controls on graphite, are likely an opening salvo in export controls that could be extended to dozens of niche materials if trade frictions with Washington escalate.

🔝Beijing is reminding Washington—including the incoming Trump administration—that it has a new arrow in its quiver. We expect a second US-China trade war in Trump’s second term. One key difference could be that Beijing escalates by using export controls in response to US tariffs.

🔝Rare earths, meanwhile, have been a feature of China’s previous trade disputes, and last year the government halted the export of a range of technologies associated with processing the elements, making it harder for the US and its allies to bolster supplies of the strategic raw materials.

📎 What Trump’s Next Trade War Could Look Like, a Guide
📎 A New World Order Is Here, and It Looks a Lot Like Mercantilism

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Review.uz/en - Economic Review

4 Dec, 09:00

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🇺🇸What Trump’s Next Trade War Could Look Like, a Guide

Bloomberg reports that Trump’s tariffs could go in many different directions. Understanding the strategy from his first term, and the priorities of his new team, reveals a potential path ahead.

📊Part of the challenge: separating the drama of Trump’s free-wheeling public statements — like his currency-rattling tariff threats to Mexico, Canada and China and a fresh warning to the BRICS economies on Saturday — from the slower-moving processes by which tariffs are designed and enacted.

📄On the road to his Nov. 5 win, Trump suggested he would put a 60% tariff on imports from China and a 10% to 20% fee on goods coming from anywhere else. The import taxes that he will deliver in office, however, seem likely to be sequenced and targeted to maximize negotiating leverage and tariff revenue while shielding US consumers from a return of the inflation that helped elect him.

📊Bloomberg Economics base case calls for three waves of tariff hikes, starting in summer 2025, with levies on China ultimately tripling by the end of 2026 and a smaller hike on the rest of the world — focused on intermediate and capital goods that don’t directly impact consumer prices. The combined impact would be a tripling of average US tariffs to almost 8% by the end of 2026.

📉 If that’s how things play out, US imports and exports of goods will drop from 21% of the global total today to 18%, including a plunge in US-China trade. US growth gets dinged, inflation faces fierce cross currents from higher tariffs and a stronger dollar, bullish stock markets have a bearish hurdle to clear and unemployment rises.

📎 America’s Free-Lunch Economy Is Over
📎 The World’s Central Banks Aren’t Following the Fed’s Lead Anymore
📎 Global Economic Risks Should Be Faced, Not Ignored

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Review.uz/en - Economic Review

3 Dec, 10:31

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📊 Overview of the most profitable microloans in Uzbekistan for December 2024

📍 In the microloan segment, the maximum amount was 100 million sums, and the average annual rate increased by 1%. As of December 2024, a microloan can be obtained in 25 banks out of 35.

📊 According to statistics from the Central Bank of Uzbekistan, in 9 months of 2024, banks allocated a total of 31,868.5 billion soums for microloans, which is 53.2% more than in the same period last year.

📎 Compared with the February overview of last year, the average annual rate increased by 1% and amounted to 33%, and the interest rates of some banks have changed in the range from +1% to +8% in December this year.

📊The following banks do not provide microloans to the population or have temporarily suspended their issuance: Turon Bank, Kapitalbank, AVO bank, Hayot Bank, Uzum bank, Yangi Bank, Smartbank, Saderatbank, Octobank, KDB Uzbekistan.

⚡️Which banks and on what terms offer the most favorable terms of microloans — read in our rating:
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Review.uz/en - Economic Review

2 Dec, 09:31

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📊 How ‘T+1’ Stock Settlement Shift Is Impacting Markets

Bloomberg reports that modern technologies could allow settlements on the same day (T+0 or settlements in the evening), but this could lead to more "failed transactions" and fraud cases.

👍 Stock trades before the computer age involved the physical exchange of stock certificates, which often took five days or more. With the industry’s growth prospects threatened by a “paperwork crisis,” the New York Stock Exchange created a central clearinghouse that would hold the millions of certificates owned by its member firms. That set the stage for transactions to become computer-automated.

📝 The SEC said that a shorter settlement window means lower odds that the buyer or seller might default before the transaction is completed. That translates to lower margin requirements for the broker and a lower risk that high volumes or volatility will force a broker to restrict trades.

🤝 The halving of the time it takes to settle equity transactions puts US stocks out of step with the $7.5-trillion-dollar-a-day global currency market, where trades typically take two days to complete. Many overseas institutions trying to buy US assets now need to secure dollars in advance to ensure they have them in time to complete a transaction, or they rush the trade through, creating the risk of errors.

📎 How Creative Tactics by Junk Borrowers Are Forcing Creditors to Close Ranks

📎 Global Economic Risks Should Be Faced, Not Ignored

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Review.uz/en - Economic Review

29 Nov, 09:11

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🌐Can the World Unite to End the Plastic Pollution Crisis?

Bloomberg reports that as the last negotiations for a global plastic treaty begin in South Korea, countries are divided over whether to cap production of the ubiquitous material.

📉 Plastic production will jump about 60% to 736 million tons a year by 2040, according to the OECD, dramatically increasing volumes as research shows how toxic the materials are as they accumulate in the natural environment and in human bodies.

📄A coalition of nearly 70 nations, including Rwanda, Norway and the UK, is pushing for a “high ambition” treaty to regulate dangerous chemicals and phase out the most polluting single-use plastic products, like cutlery.

❌But Saudi Arabia, Iran, Russia and some other petrostates — plastics are made from chemicals derived from fossil fuels — ardently disagree.

🧪Plastics are also responsible for about 4% of global greenhouse gas emissions, according to the UN. As plastic items break down, they become microplastics. These have now been found in human breast milk, brain tissue and blood. Research has linked a chemical used in some plastics, bisphenol F, to lower IQs in children.

📎 The Climate Impact of Our Insatiable Plastic Addiction

📎 The World Promised to Tame Methane. Emissions Are Still Rising

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Review.uz/en - Economic Review

29 Nov, 07:20

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☑️#Infographics: Uzbekistan's foreign trade with the EAEU countries for January-October 2024

📈On May 29, 2024, the EAEU celebrated 10 years. Uzbekistan has an observer status in the EAEU since 2020. The Republic ranks 1st among the EAEU trade partners from all CIS countries that are not members of the EAEU.

4️⃣Uzbekistan's foreign trade turnover with the EAEU member states in January-October 2024 increased by 11.8% amounted to $14.4 billion, of which:
◾️exports – $4.8 bln.
◾️imports – $9.6 bln.

🇷🇺Foreign trade turnover with Russia amounted to $9.7 bln. (+22.2%)
◾️exports – $3.1 bln.
◾️imports – $6.6 bln.

🇰🇿Foreign trade turnover with Kazakhstan amounted to $3.4 bln.
◾️exports – $1.1 bln.
◾️imports – $2.3 bln.

🇰🇬Foreign trade turnover with Kyrgyzstan amounted to $676 mln.
◾️exports – $445 mln.
◾️imports – $231 mln.

🇧🇾Foreign trade turnover with Belarus amounted to $582 mln. (+14.6%)
◾️exports – $134 mln.
◾️imports – $449 mln.

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Review.uz/en - Economic Review

28 Nov, 10:12

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📁#Infographics: Uzbekistan's trade with CIS countries in January-October 2024

📍In January-October this year, the CIS countries accounted for 34.9% of the foreign trade turnover of the Republic of Uzbekistan.

✔️The foreign trade turnover of the Republic of Uzbekistan with the CIS countries in January-October this year increased by 13.1% and amounted to $19 billion

◼️export – $7.5 bln (+10.7%)
◼️import – $11.5 bln (+14.7%)

✔️The largest shares of foreign trade turnover with the CIS countries were with Russia (51%), Kazakhstan (18%), Turkmenistan (5%) and Kyrgyzstan (4%).

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Review.uz/en - Economic Review

28 Nov, 07:20

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📊 #Infographics: Uzbekistan's trade with Central Asian countries in January-October 2024

📈 By the end of January-October 2024, the volume of Uzbekistan's foreign trade with Central Asian countries reached $5.6 billion, which was 10.3% of the total volume of foreign trade.

➡️ Exports amounted to $2.1 billion
⬅️ Imports amounted to $3.5 billion

📊 The largest share in Uzbekistan's trade turnover with Central Asian countries was accounted for by Kazakhstan – 61%, the rest: Turkmenistan – 17%, Kyrgyzstan – 12% and Tajikistan – 10%.

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27 Nov, 07:20

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📊#Infographics: Uzbekistan's foreign trade for January-October 2024

📶Uzbekistan's foreign trade turnover in January-October 2024 amounted to $54.4 billion (+9.6%)

➡️Exports in foreign trade turnover amounted to $22.4 billion (+9.6%)

✔️In the structure of exports, goods amounted to $16.7 million and services to $5.7 billion

⬅️Imports in foreign trade amounted to $31.9 billion (+4.7%)

✔️In particular, goods were imported for $28.9 billion and services for $3 billion

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26 Nov, 07:25

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💰 Wall Street's Elites Are Piling Into a Massive AI Gamble

Bloomberg reports that finance’s biggest names are ready to gatecrash the artificial-intelligence party.

📊Analysis by Bloomberg News estimates at least $1 trillion of spending is needed for the data centers, electricity supplies and communications networks that will power the attempt to deliver on AI’s promise to transform everything from medicine to customer service. Others reckon the total cost could be double that.

📊Even Wall Street skeptics on AI’s ultimate money-making potential have said it’s worth staying invested in those who provide the plumbing. One rival banker admits his firm is juggling so many data-center deals that it doesn’t have enough staff to cope with the workload.

📉Building a single location with one gigawatt of power — something that’s been much discussed but doesn’t yet exist — will set you back about $12 billion. Giving a sense of the possible spending needed, Sam Altman, owner of OpenAI, has pitched the idea of five-gigawatt centers. That could require millions of square feet of space and suck up enough energy to power many US cities.

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25 Nov, 09:54

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Forward from: Center for Economic Research and Reforms
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📊 Prezident Shavkat Mirziyoyevning Oliy Majlis Qonunchilik palatasidagi nutqi tahlili O. Xakimovning "O‘zbekiston 24" telekanaliga bergan intervyusida

〰️〰️〰️〰️〰️〰️〰️〰️〰️〰️➖

📊Анализ выступления Президента Шавката Мирзиеева на заседании Законодательной палаты Олий Мажлиса в интервью О.Хакимова телеканалу "Узбекистан 24".

〰️〰️〰️〰️〰️〰️〰️〰️〰️〰️➖

📊 Analysis of President Shavkat Mirziyoyev's Address at the Session of the Legislative Chamber of the Oliy Majlis in an interview with O. Khakimov on Uzbekistan 24 Channel

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25 Nov, 07:20

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⚡️An Energy-Abundant World Needs More Clean Power

Bloomberg reports that it is important that richer developing nations to play a bigger role in the climate finance system.

👍The Group of 77, which represents non-OECD nations not only called for a far higher spending figure — $1.3 trillion — but also rejected any suggestion that the donor base should be widened. The clash is symptomatic of the nihilism that has overtaken the COP process in recent years.

👍A trillion-dollar figure isn’t as outlandish as it may sound. It is, if anything, toward the low end of most independent estimates of what developing countries need just for the grid, generation and transport systems they’ll need on the way to zero emissions.

👍Sourcing such an amount from rich countries, however, is simply not going to happen. That $1.3 trillion is equivalent to the value of every cent of foreign direct investment in 2023 between every country on the planet. If you could get every OECD member to spend that amount on climate alone — tearing up all their other aid and development commitments in the process — you’d arrive at less than a third of the amount that’s being asked for.

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