Links for 2024-12-23
AI:
1. What o3 Becomes by 2028 — “We haven't seen AIs made from compute optimal LLMs pretrained on these systems yet, but the systems were around for 6+ months, so the AIs should start getting deployed imminently, and will become ubiquitous in 2025.” https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/NXTkEiaLA4JdS5vSZ/what-o3-becomes-by-2028
2. Orienting to 3 year AGI timelines https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/jb4bBdeEEeypNkqzj/orienting-to-3-year-agi-timelines
3. “AI that exceeds human performance in nearly every cognitive domain is almost certain to be built and deployed in the next few years. We need to act accordingly now.” https://milesbrundage.substack.com/p/times-up-for-ai-policy
4. The new hyped Genesis simulator is up to 10x slower, not 10-80x faster https://stoneztao.substack.com/p/the-new-hyped-genesis-simulator-is
5. Stanford researchers introduced a new system that can generate physically plausible human-object interactions from natural language https://hoifhli.github.io/
6. “We analyzed 18 LLMs and found units mirroring the brain's language, theory of mind, and multiple demand networks!” https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.02280
7. A biologically-inspired hierarchical convolutional energy model predicts V4 responses to natural videos https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2024.12.16.628781v1
8. LlamaFusion: Adapting Pretrained Language Models for Multimodal Generation https://arxiv.org/abs/2412.15188
9. Memory Layers at Scale https://arxiv.org/abs/2412.09764
10. Deliberative alignment: reasoning enables safer language models https://openai.com/index/deliberative-alignment/
11. A foundation model for generalizable disease detection from retinal images https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-023-06555-x
12. Prompting Depth Anything for 4K Resolution Accurate Metric Depth Estimation https://promptda.github.io/
13. ⇆ Marigold-DC: Zero-Shot Monocular Depth Completion with Guided Diffusion https://marigolddepthcompletion.github.io/
14. Startup’s autonomous drones precisely track warehouse inventories https://news.mit.edu/2024/corvus-autonomous-drones-precisely-track-warehouse-inventories-1220
15. MIT engineers developed AI frameworks to identify evidence-driven hypotheses that could advance biologically inspired materials. https://news.mit.edu/2024/need-research-hypothesis-ask-ai-1219
16. Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark says when he and Dario Amodei went to the White House in 2023 where Kamala Harris told them, "We've got our eye on you guys. AI is going to be a really big deal and we're now actually paying attention" https://youtu.be/om2lIWXLLN4?si=ySlUNtsBzZVe7Tc-&t=705
17. UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres tells the UN Security Council that technology will never move in the future as slowly as today https://x.com/tsarnick/status/1871016318247604624
Technology:
1. Aqueous Homogeneous Miniature Reactors Could Supply U.S. Bases With Unlimited Fuel https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidhambling/2024/12/05/miniature-reactors-could-supply-us-bases-with-unlimited-fuel/
2. A Billion Times Faster: Laser Neurons Ignite the Future of AI https://opg.optica.org/optica/fulltext.cfm?uri=optica-11-12-1690&id=565919
3. MIT engineers grow “high-rise” 3D chips https://news.mit.edu/2024/mit-engineers-grow-high-rise-3d-chips-1218
Math:
1. Tarski's high school algebra problem inquires whether all identities involving addition, multiplication, and exponentiation over the positive integers can be derived solely from a specific set of eleven axioms commonly taught in high school mathematics. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tarski%27s_high_school_algebra_problem
2. Mathematicians Uncover a New Way to Count Prime Numbers https://www.quantamagazine.org/mathematicians-uncover-a-new-way-to-count-prime-numbers-20241211/
Miscellaneous:
1. Game-Changing Dual Cancer Therapy Completely Eradicates Tumors Without Harsh Side Effects https://news.mit.edu/2024/implantable-microparticles-can-deliver-two-cancer-therapies-1028
2. Are most of senescent cells immune cells? https://www.nature.com/articles/s12276-024-01354-4
AI:
1. What o3 Becomes by 2028 — “We haven't seen AIs made from compute optimal LLMs pretrained on these systems yet, but the systems were around for 6+ months, so the AIs should start getting deployed imminently, and will become ubiquitous in 2025.” https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/NXTkEiaLA4JdS5vSZ/what-o3-becomes-by-2028
2. Orienting to 3 year AGI timelines https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/jb4bBdeEEeypNkqzj/orienting-to-3-year-agi-timelines
3. “AI that exceeds human performance in nearly every cognitive domain is almost certain to be built and deployed in the next few years. We need to act accordingly now.” https://milesbrundage.substack.com/p/times-up-for-ai-policy
4. The new hyped Genesis simulator is up to 10x slower, not 10-80x faster https://stoneztao.substack.com/p/the-new-hyped-genesis-simulator-is
5. Stanford researchers introduced a new system that can generate physically plausible human-object interactions from natural language https://hoifhli.github.io/
6. “We analyzed 18 LLMs and found units mirroring the brain's language, theory of mind, and multiple demand networks!” https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.02280
7. A biologically-inspired hierarchical convolutional energy model predicts V4 responses to natural videos https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2024.12.16.628781v1
8. LlamaFusion: Adapting Pretrained Language Models for Multimodal Generation https://arxiv.org/abs/2412.15188
9. Memory Layers at Scale https://arxiv.org/abs/2412.09764
10. Deliberative alignment: reasoning enables safer language models https://openai.com/index/deliberative-alignment/
11. A foundation model for generalizable disease detection from retinal images https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-023-06555-x
12. Prompting Depth Anything for 4K Resolution Accurate Metric Depth Estimation https://promptda.github.io/
13. ⇆ Marigold-DC: Zero-Shot Monocular Depth Completion with Guided Diffusion https://marigolddepthcompletion.github.io/
14. Startup’s autonomous drones precisely track warehouse inventories https://news.mit.edu/2024/corvus-autonomous-drones-precisely-track-warehouse-inventories-1220
15. MIT engineers developed AI frameworks to identify evidence-driven hypotheses that could advance biologically inspired materials. https://news.mit.edu/2024/need-research-hypothesis-ask-ai-1219
16. Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark says when he and Dario Amodei went to the White House in 2023 where Kamala Harris told them, "We've got our eye on you guys. AI is going to be a really big deal and we're now actually paying attention" https://youtu.be/om2lIWXLLN4?si=ySlUNtsBzZVe7Tc-&t=705
17. UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres tells the UN Security Council that technology will never move in the future as slowly as today https://x.com/tsarnick/status/1871016318247604624
Technology:
1. Aqueous Homogeneous Miniature Reactors Could Supply U.S. Bases With Unlimited Fuel https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidhambling/2024/12/05/miniature-reactors-could-supply-us-bases-with-unlimited-fuel/
2. A Billion Times Faster: Laser Neurons Ignite the Future of AI https://opg.optica.org/optica/fulltext.cfm?uri=optica-11-12-1690&id=565919
3. MIT engineers grow “high-rise” 3D chips https://news.mit.edu/2024/mit-engineers-grow-high-rise-3d-chips-1218
Math:
1. Tarski's high school algebra problem inquires whether all identities involving addition, multiplication, and exponentiation over the positive integers can be derived solely from a specific set of eleven axioms commonly taught in high school mathematics. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tarski%27s_high_school_algebra_problem
2. Mathematicians Uncover a New Way to Count Prime Numbers https://www.quantamagazine.org/mathematicians-uncover-a-new-way-to-count-prime-numbers-20241211/
Miscellaneous:
1. Game-Changing Dual Cancer Therapy Completely Eradicates Tumors Without Harsh Side Effects https://news.mit.edu/2024/implantable-microparticles-can-deliver-two-cancer-therapies-1028
2. Are most of senescent cells immune cells? https://www.nature.com/articles/s12276-024-01354-4